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STRATEGY
We asked three experts on liquidity management in China to answer questions on topics such as deregulation of the renminbi, central bank regulations of the renminbi money markets, compliance with the Pudong Nine Measures and also the advantages of operating as a foreign-invested enterprise (FIE) in China. Experts:
Question 1: How important is it that foreign banks get a renminbi (RMB) licence that allows them to accept deposits of less than RMB1m? Cline Zhang and Alan Chan, Citigroup: Firstly, one must be cautious with the terminology, which can be confusing. The appropriate post-World Trade Organisation (WTO) formulation is 'to incorporate locally', or more colloquially, 'to subsidiarize', rather than to obtain an RMB licence. The reason for potential confusion is that banks that did not or will not apply to incorporate may still want an RMB licence if they want to accept deposits of more than RMB1m. Secondly, if the China growth strategy of a foreign bank depends on accumulating RMB deposits, then yes, it is very important to incorporate locally (or subsidiarize), otherwise there is limited chance of meaningful RMB driven growth. However, if a foreign bank strategy does not depend on individual RMB deposits for growth, then it may not be as important to incorporate. At present, nine foreign banks have been approved for local incorporation. Question 2: Does the current RMB interbank market practice allow foreign banks to raise funds to support their loan assets growth? Zhang and Chan, Citigroup: On 4 January 2007 the People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, launched a set of market-determined interest rates for borrowing between banks called the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (SHIBOR), a move aimed at creating depth in the onshore money market. This move will help to further liberalize interest rates and cultivate a benchmark interest rate system for China's money market. SHIBOR, which replaces the government-set China Interbank Offered Rate (CHIBOR), will be based on interest rates offered by 16 banks on the interbank market for periods ranging from one night to one year. However, SHIBOR is still not a tradable benchmark on the RMB interbank market. Additionally, the borrowing/lending limit for branches of foreign banks remains capped at 1.5 times injected capital. As a consequence, borrowing/lending activity is rather limited when compared with the RMB repo market. Foreign banks can raise funds to fund loan assets from the interbank market for up to one year, however, due to the limitations mentioned above, most loans are funded from outside the CHIBOR / SHIBOR market, i.e. through TongYeChaiJie rather than TongYeJieKuan. The CHIBOR/SHIBOR market is mainly used to satisfy liquidity needs. SHIBOR is tradable for very short tenors from overnight to seven days, as these rates are very close to repo rates. Therefore, banks with good credit and a sufficient line can borrow at SHIBOR without bond collateral. Question 3: What is the difference between TongYeChaiJie and TongYeJieKuan? Jin Kok Teoh, HSBC: TongYeChaiJie and TongYeJieKuan are two different types of RMB interbank borrowing used by many foreign banks. TongYeChaiJie means interbank borrowing and lending on a clean basis (i.e. no collateral) through the National Interbank Funding Centre platform. The maximum tenor of a TongYeChaiJie is 12 months. Foreign banks with an RMB licence can borrow and lend in the form of a TongYeChaiJie, subject to a ceiling of 1.5 times the bank's RMB operating funds (capital). TongYeJieKuan is an OTC-based interbank borrowing and lending product, by which foreign banks with an RMB licence can borrow long term funds from local banks. The minimum tenor of a TongYeJieKuan is four months. Foreign banks may trade only in one direction - borrowing but not lending - through a TongYeJieKuan. Zhang and Chan, Citigroup: TongYeChaiJie refers to borrowing/lending through the China Foreign Exchange Trading System (CFETS) trading platform of the RMB interbank market. Its transaction rates form the CHIBOR, so TongYeChaiJie is also called the CHIBOR market. SHIBOR is the rate quoted by 16 banks in Shanghai for RMB interbank borrowing/lending. TongYeJieKuan refers to the facility established several years ago enabling foreign banks to borrow for more than four months from local banks (before 8 October 2006, the CHIBOR market could only process transactions of less than four months). The TongYeJieKuan market is not transparent and there is no trading platform. Deals are conducted through contracts and rates are normally higher as they are related to PBOC loan rates. After 8 October 2006, the CHIBOR market allowed trades for up to one year, however, due to the foreign bank's lending cap (1.5 times capital) TongYeJieKuan still exists. It is not yet known whether it will close. Foreign banks also conduct 'interbank deposits' (i.e. they open accounts with each other) to by-pass the CHIBOR limit. Rates can be better than borrowing from local banks through TongYeJieKuan. Some banks have conducted FX swaps to get cheaper RMB funding after they were permitted. The PBOC has not imposed limits on any other means of funding. Question 4: Does the PBOC intend to keep the new regulations, and could they hinder the development of the RMB money market? Teoh, HSBC: The PBOC may keep TongYeChaiJie and TongYeJieKuan. We have also seen many initiatives and reforms introduced by the PBOC to speed up the marketisation of the RMB money market. For example, the PBOC has introduced RMB interest rate swaps in the first quarter of 2006; extended the maximum tenor of TongYeChaiJie from four months to 12 months with effect from October 2006; and launched the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (SHIBOR) - the RMB interest rate benchmark curve in January 2007. Question 5: Will the RMB interest rate see further deregulation - if so when and in which direction? Zhang and Chan, Citigroup: The PBOC's monetary policy is to move towards further deregulation. The PBOC has expressed a desire to develop the CHIBOR / SHIBOR markets, to build up a benchmark yield curve and then further free up deposit/loan rates. Question 6: Has China liberalized the bank interest conditions on both RMB and foreign currency operating accounts? Teoh, HSBC: The local regulator has achieved remarkable success in maintaining financial stability and promoting economic development. However, the pace of interest rate liberalisation has not been as quick as market expectations. For RMB deposits, interest rates on operating accounts are set and controlled by the central bank. For high-value deposits (exceeding US$3m) in foreign currency, the interest rate is negotiable. Since November 2004, the interest rate on foreign currency deposits with a value less than US$3m has been determined and announced by the bank itself if the currency is one of four major foreign currencies (US dollar/Japanese yen/euro/HK dollar) with a tenor of two years. Otherwise, the bank should follow the deposit interest rate published by the central bank as the upper limit. We believe that China will gradually and steadily push its market-oriented reform of interest rates together with changes in the macroeconomic environment. Zhang and Chan, Citigroup: While there has been some liberalization, certain regulations remain. In respect of RMB and FCY deposits of less than $3m, only the interest cap is regulated. For FCY deposits of more than US$3m, the interest rate is negotiable. For RMB loans, an interest floor has been set, below which a bank may not lower interest rates. Although there is no specified interest rate ceiling, there is a regulatory prohibition on interest rates that are not appropriate and which are in excess of market rates. Question 7: What changes occurred in the currency law in China between 2004-2006? What are the main trends in China's banking system for the 11th five-year plan? Zhang and Chan, Citigroup: The main trends are a more flexible exchange rate mechanism, more open financial markets and further deregulation of interest rates. To ease pressure on the renminbi, the central bank has steadily relaxed the restrictions on purchasing and holding foreign currency in China. In early 2006, a new regulation update was announced that made it more convenient for companies and individuals to purchase and hold foreign currency, instead of having to convert it to RMB. This is the ninth change to the foreign currency control regulations since 1994 when the control system was set up. Teoh, HSBC: In the past three years, these are the main changes that have occurred:
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